Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Mika Petkovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Petkovic edges out Bailly with a second serve win rate of 43.71% compared to Bailly's 41.73%. Could this be a deciding factor?
• Return Game Stats: On opponent's second serves, Petkovic has won 46.72% of points, slightly surpassing Bailly's 44.93%. On first serve returns, Bailly has a minor advantage at 28.8% compared to Petkovic's 27.16%.
• Under Pressure Situations: Petkovic demonstrates superior breakpoint resilience, saving 55.65% compared to Bailly's 47.22%. This could swing the match in Petkovic's favor during critical moments.
• Overall Performance: Bailly has a higher win rate over the past year, winning 73.56% of matches, whereas Petkovic has a win rate of 54.55%. Does this suggest Bailly has a stronger recent form?
• Surface Preference: Bailly excels on Hard courts with a 69% win rate, aligning well with the upcoming match surface. Petkovic, however, performs best on Clay, with a 62% win rate, which may not favor them on the Hard court.
• Tournament Level: Bailly has shown strong results in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, winning 74.32% of matches. Petkovic has a lower win percentage of 56% in similar-level events, indicating Bailly's consistency at this level.
• Head-to-Head Record: Bailly has a clear advantage, having won their only previous encounter convincingly in straight sets on a Hard surface.
• Opposition Quality: Petkovic faced tougher opponents on average, with rankings around 299.64, compared to Bailly's 380.01, which might have impacted their win-loss records.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match reaches a deciding set, Bailly holds a stronger record, winning 68% of such sets, while Petkovic has won only 47%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Nearly evenly matched, Bailly has slightly better breakpoint conversion at 38.04%, compared to Petkovic's 37.8%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent player statistics, Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Petkovic present a compelling matchup. Despite Petkovic's marginally better second serve performance and stronger breakpoint saving under pressure, Bailly's overall performance and surface preference may provide a significant advantage.

Bailly's superior win rate on Hard courts and their prior decisive victory against Petkovic suggest a familiarity and confidence on this surface. Additionally, Bailly's strong record in deciding sets further enhances their position as a likely winner in a closely contested match.

Considering all these factors, Gilles Arnaud Bailly is predicted to win in the upcoming tennis match, although Petkovic's potential to challenge should not be underestimated.